Special Report

These Are the Counties In the Amarillo, TX Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

Michael Ciaglo / Getty Images News via Getty Images

After adding over 934,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 42.1 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 670,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 45.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 49.5 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Amarillo, TX, metro area consists of Randall County, Potter County, Carson County, and two other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 66.3 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Amarillo residents, greater than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 68.6 daily new cases per 100,000 Amarillo residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Amarillo metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Randall County. There were an average of 71.1 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Randall County during the past week, the most of the five counties in Amarillo with available data.

Case growth in the Amarillo metro area varies widely at the county level. In Carson County, for example, there were an average of 20.4 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Amarillo and far more than the case growth rate in Randall County.

While Randall County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Amarillo area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of September 23, there were a total of 16,403.5 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Randall County, the second most of the five counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 12,985.5 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Randall County, unemployment peaked at 8.6% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.2%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending September 23. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Texas where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 23 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending September. 16 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Randall County 134,026 71.1 67.3 16,403.5 239.5
2 Potter County 119,674 64.2 70.4 18,450.1 440.4
3 Armstrong County 1,973 40.3 38.3 12,721.7 354.8
4 Oldham County 2,094 30.2 92.6 15,472.8 191.0
5 Carson County 6,009 20.4 60.8 11,932.1 299.6

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